Russia may have a chance after the midterm elections

With the U.S. midterm elections now only three weeks away, the Democratic and Republican parties have stepped up their respective electoral efforts, according to a report by Globes. The bigwigs from both camps have shown up to the campaign, incumbent President Joe Biden, former President Barack Obama, former President Donald Trump, and former Vice President Mike Pence have opened their campaigns, and it must be said that the current U.S. midterm elections have reached a white-hot stage.

The company's main goal is to provide the best possible service to its customers. It is worth noting that although the United States is very busy due to the midterm elections, but very concerned about this election not only the United States voters and the Democratic and Republican parties. Russia is also very concerned about the U.S. midterm elections. Some Russian media are already judging the impact of the results of the 2022 midterm elections on Russia.

Russian media are also concerned about the U.S. midterm elections, and the Republican Party has a very good chance of winning

The Russian newspaper "Opinion" recently published an article titled "How the change of power in the U.S. Congress will affect Russia" to analyze how the midterm elections will affect Russia.

According to the Russian newspaper "Conversant," the results are increasingly showing that Biden's Democrats are likely to lose the elections, especially in the House of Representatives, which is likely to change hands. Since Biden entered the White House, his path to power seems to have been unlucky. Affected by the epidemic, in 2021, there was a serious domestic supply chain crisis in the United States, with many domestic commodity prices rising and the cost of living expenses of the people rising, for which voters were complaining about Biden and were very disappointed that Biden could not solve the supply chain problem. And in 2021, the United States was disgraced when the chaotic scene of the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan appeared on the TV screens of American voters' homes. This incident reinforced voters' suspicions of Biden.

In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine conflict erupted, global energy prices rose, and the United States was deeply affected at home. Although Biden has repeatedly released energy reserves, with little success. Biden originally also counted on the Middle East's Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and other oil-producing countries to stabilize market expectations by increasing production, thus achieving the role of lower oil prices. But Biden has already offended these countries before coming to power, how will they lose this opportunity to make money for Biden? In this context, energy, food, and other prices continue to rise, and voters' wallets are increasingly inadequate.

So starting in 2022, Biden's Democratic Party is already facing a series of disadvantages in the midterm elections. As the Russian newspaper "Opinion" also mentioned, the Democrats' defeat seemed doomed from the beginning of this summer, but by the fall, energy prices in the United States had decreased, and Biden's ideological slogan "It's us or semi-fascism (a description of Trump-ism)" pulled in Biden's support bounced back, once again making the election unpredictable, as some left-wing voters supported him. But then the Saudi and Russian-led OPEC+ launched an oil production cut deal, oil prices in the U.S. soared again, Biden and the Democratic Party's approval ratings fell again, and the election became clear again.

Biden's Democratic Party does not have a big advantage in both houses of Congress. The Democratic Party in the House of Representatives has only 9 seats more than the Republican Party, and in the Senate, the two parties are even, so for the Republican Party, the situation in Congress is very easy to flip.

After the midterm elections, the United States can continue to large-scale aid to Ukraine has become an unknown

In this context, the Russian newspaper "Opinion" began to analyze the impact on Russia and Ukraine, respectively, if the Republicans win the midterm elections.

According to the Russian media, it is highly unlikely that the Republican Party will come to power and change the current "anti-Russian" atmosphere in the United States. After taking office, Trump, who has been a frequent gesture of goodwill toward Russia, has been hamstrung by domestic constraints and has been unable to take any step toward easing U.S.-Russian relations, but has instead been coerced by the combined efforts of the U.S. political establishment to go further and further down the "anti-Russian" road.

The Republican Party also has some hawks, such as Senator Graham, who are keen on globalism and "anti-Russian". So once the Republicans take control of Congress, will they increase their efforts to contain Russia?

The Russian newspaper "Perspective" does not see it that way. Its main focus is on the Trump-ism that currently dominates the Republican Party, which is also known as populism and a modern version of "isolationism". This school of thought has never advocated massive foreign aid and is keen to see the United States focus its dollars and attention on the domestic front, prioritizing internal affairs and focusing on the problems currently facing the American electorate.

And according to the Russian newspaper "Opinion", voters in the U.S. are currently very unhappy with Biden and the Democrats' big package of military and financial aid to Ukraine for a long time, and to their great anger, Biden and the Democrats are even more concerned about Ukraine than they are about the cost of living and the current state of the economy for American voters. In this context, the voters' demands are naturally concern by the Trump faction, because it is not only about this midterm election, but also about the 2024 presidential election, and in their minds, only votes matter. And only the votes of the voters will determine their victory, not Ukraine.

So against the backdrop of a bleak outlook, the Biden administration has advanced an additional $10 billion to Ukraine.

If we combine the analyses of the Russian media, we will see that Ukraine's aid from the United States will shrink significantly if the Republican Party, currently dominated by Trumpism, defeats the Democrats in the midterm elections. It is worth noting that the US media had previously revealed that Biden had warned Kerensky not to complain too often, otherwise he would have a hard time getting money from Congress again in the midterm elections. It seems that this statement is true.

The Biden administration and Congress' high-intensity aid to Ukraine have long been divisive within the Republican Party. Previously, during the Senate vote to review a bill for tens of billions of dollars in aid to Ukraine, Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky took issue with it, and the senator, who is from the same state as Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell, called on Congress to take a clear look at the current situation within the United States and not blindly throw money at it. For this reason, he postponed the vote on the bill.

As you can see, it is an open question whether the U.S. will still be able to spend as much money on Ukraine after the midterm elections. And once the U.S. reduces its military and financial aid to Ukraine, how much more can the Ukrainian army do on the battlefield? I have to say, after the midterm elections, the United States may be an opportunity for Russia.