Kasparov Promoted to Admiral as Chechnya Replaces Russian Forces in Lead Role

Recently, there are new variables in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and two major events have happened to make the future of the Russia-Ukraine conflict more confusing.

In the first event, Russian troops in armored vehicles voluntarily surrendered to the Ukrainian army. This video sparked a lot of debate online, with some people seeing it as a performance by the U.S. Army and others seeing it as a precursor to the collapse of the Russian Army, not a performance.

The second thing, Kasparov was promoted to the rank of admiral by the Russian military. The original Kasparov was a lieutenant general in the Russian army, and this promotion to admiral means that the Russian military highly recognizes the fighting ability of the Chechen army.

So how should we interpret this matter?

First, the current Russian army is indeed a precursor to collapse, so much so that Putin has a new view of the changes in the Russian war effort to take new measures, which can be found in Putin's initiative and the surrender of the Russian army two events do correlate.

According to the images that came out, a Russian BUMP vehicle group drove quickly to the defense line of the U.S. Army. The white cloth wrapped around the vehicle proves that it is a surrendered Russian fighting vehicle. Two Russians got out of the body and raised their hands, the driver of the chariot also raised his hands, and the U.S. Army quickly brought the infantry chariot under control.

The U.S. Army found a Z mark on the chariot, indicating that it was a Russian infantry fighting vehicle undertaking a special military operation. The U.S. Army took all the captured soldiers into custody and took them away.

The video did spark a hot debate online, with some believing it was a surrender by the Russian army. But there is also a view that it is a performance of Kerensky, a performance of the Ukrainian army. Because the Ukrainian army itself has BUMP infantry fighting vehicles, the performance of surrender by the Ukrainian army pretending to be Russian troops does have the color of demoralizing the Russian army.

In the end, which is true, there is no more evidence to prove, but combined with the current actual situation of the Russian army and the usual style of the U.S. Army, the U.S. Army's performance is more likely. Because the loyalty of the Russian army to the Russian authorities is much higher than the loyalty of the U.S. army to the U.S. authorities, the Russian army, even if defeated, would have routed in formation, rather than actively choose to surrender. After all, surrender is an unbearable disgrace to the Russian army, and is also a behavior strictly prohibited by the Russian army, with patriotic enthusiasm, inheriting the good traditions of the Soviet army is unlikely to do such a thing.

In the Second Chechen War, a unit of the Russian 76th Airborne Division fought to the death against the Chechen rebels. When they ran out of bullets, the Russians chose to fight the Chechen rebels with bayonets, and those who remained in their positions chose to die with the enemy. Although the Soviet Union has been dissolved, this spirit of fighting to the end has been incorporated into the spirit of the Russian army.

In the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, many Russian generals died in the first place. If the senior generals fought so bravely, there was no need to doubt the fighting spirit of the officers and soldiers under them.

It is because the Russian army's fighting spirit is very tenacious that the Ugandan army performed and made a show of surrendering to the Ugandan army by the Russian BUMP vehicle group. This approach of the Ukrainian army can only be described as a laughing stock.

However, looking at it from another angle, it seems that the performance of the U.S. Army is also sided evidence of the low morale of the Russian Army. If the Russian army had been victorious all the way too high, the Ugandan army made this performance instead and would have been ridiculed by the Russian army. But the Russian army is now a series of defeats, the Ugandan army does do so to mock the Russian army to combat the suspicion of Russian morale. The Russian army needs to be alert.

The Russian army's dilemma is also reflected in an order signed by Putin recently, in which Putin asked university students to suspend their enlistment. What does this mean? Putin has a new decision on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, originally 300,000 reserves to enlist this thing I'm afraid contains a lot of college students, but Putin does not let college students rush to join the army, indicating that Putin has new ideas and intentions for the Russia-Ukraine conflict. At least put combat-capable troops in the necessary place to destroy the enemy, then let college students on the front line t be cannon fodder to be much stronger. The Russian army needs some carefully laid out battles to destroy the viable forces of the Ukrainian army, not conscripting millions of inexperienced soldiers to go up as cannon fodder.

So where is Putin's next move?

Second, Chechen leader Kadyrov was promoted to the rank of general in the Russian army.

Just on Kadyrov's 46th birthday, Kadyrov became an admiral in the Russian military. Kadyrov's promotion indicates that the Russian military now needs to take on the Chechen forces as the main Russian force in the counter-offensive, and Kadyrov's move is a testament to the Russian military's war success in Chechnya.

What kind of success did Chechen troops achieve in Ukraine?

Chechnya eliminated the Azov battalion in Mariupol, where the Ukrainian army had dared to resist to the end, and again in recent battles against the 24th Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian army and NATO mercenaries. Kadyrov also sent his three sons to the front. Chechen troops also killed seven U.S. mercenaries in a battle in the summer of 2022.

The Chechen forces were so determined to fight that they dealt heavy blows to Russian forces during the Chechen War. By the time Chechen forces went up to Ukraine and dealt another heavy blow to the U.S. Army and also killed U.S. mercenaries, Chechnya's capabilities had to be taken seriously by the Russian military.

What the Russian military must do now is to give the Chechen troops a commendation and stabilize the Chechen military. Let Chechnya die to serve the Russian military.

The Chechen forces have no problem with their war record, but the Russian military has always been wary of Chechen forces. After all, Chechnya had made a fuss about independence, and now it is loyal to Putin, and the future is not clear. Chechen leader Kasparov is quite critical of the Russian military, which could easily lead to conflicts between the Russian military and the Chechen army.

Then what the Russian military is trying to do is affirm the merits of the Chechen leader and the Chechen army and appease the Chechen leader. Then for Chechnya, there is no greater gift than a promotion to military rank. The purpose of the Russian military granting Chechen leaders, the rank of general in the Russian army, is to unify the Chechen military under the command of the Russian army and to allow Chechnya to replace the Russian army as the protagonist on the battlefield.

Then the next step, Chechen troops will undertake more brutal combat tasks within the Russian military sequence, especially the siege tasks against the main forces of the U.S. Army, Putin will give the relevant combat tasks to Chechnya. The Russian army can use the period when the Chechen troops are on the front line to eliminate the U.S. army to reorganize their troops, make up for the shortage of troops and equipment losses, and then regain the initiative in the future battlefield. The Chechen forces will be increasingly credited with the war effort in the future Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

But the Russian army itself has to reflect on why the Ugandan army was able to beat the Russian army and return home in a disastrous defeat. These lessons should be summarized to avoid the same mistakes in the next war.