Is Putin seeking to revive the Soviet Union?

e conspicuously removed from their historic motherland. This phrase is part of an article entitled “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians” written by Russian President Putin, published last summer, and is being distributed to Russian soldiers at the present time.

In the article, Putin laments about 25 million Russians who have become outside Russia, including 12 million in Ukraine, which reflects Putin's rush in his foreign policies, influenced by the storm of the past represented by the terrifying former entity, the Soviet Union, whose collapse Putin described as the great geopolitical catastrophe of the twentieth century. The disintegration of that entity: he who does not grieve for the absence of the Soviet state is a heartless person.”

The Russian invasion of Ukraine came as a leap out of the field that America and the West had defined for the Russians, after the end of the Cold War and the fall of the Soviet Union, when the role of Russia (the heir of the Soviet empire) was marginalized at the level of international influence, and Putin’s moves in that current crisis were not limited to their goals to prevent Ukraine From joining NATO, and Putin’s goals even exceed this limit, to challenging the world order that has structured the European Union since the 1990s, without the Russians having a proper role, and limiting Russia’s privileges within the former Soviet space. Putin aims to stop the US-European influence in the region, which he considers a sphere of influence inherited from the former Soviet Union, and does not see Ukraine and others as neighboring countries. in the post-Soviet collapse.

Putin is still motivated by the old imperial “nostalgia,” and he refuses, with a “Stalinist” mentality, for the countries of the collapsed Union to get out of his hegemony. to the position of 1997, which means withdrawal from Central and Eastern Europe. Putin is working on cutting the wings of NATO to proceed from weakening it to overthrowing the international system and reconfiguring it again on the basis of Russia’s inclusion with the United States and China in dividing the world into areas of influence for these three poles, so it cannot be said that Putin entered an ill-considered war, even if the Americans They see in it a re-fall of the Russians in the Afghan quagmire, as the man did not take this measure until after he obtained several points of superiority and distinction:

the first: the decline of the American role as a policeman for the world, and one of its images is the Russians finding a foothold for them more effectively than the Americans in Syria and Libya

Second: Establishing strong relations with countries in the Middle East that used to turn their face towards the White House. Egypt, for example, during the era of Sisi had economic relations with Russia, and relied mainly on wheat imports from it, and in terms of military armament, Cairo adopted the principle of diversifying its sources of arms. Russia comes at the top of the countries with which it concludes arms deals, and it has a close link with Russia in the energy field, the most prominent manifestation of which is the El Dabaa nuclear project, built and funded by Russia. As well as Saudi Arabia, which recently had strong relations with Russia, against the backdrop of Joe Biden’s new policy, which deepened the Gulf’s concerns about Iranian influence, in contrast to his predecessor Trump, who extended the umbrella of American protection to the Gulf states, and adhered to economic sanctions imposed on Iran, which forced it to open up to Russia.

The third: It is related to the field of energy, as Russian gas has become the backbone of life in Europe, on which it depends mainly, as Russian gas represents 40% of its need, so the economic sanctions imposed by America and the European Union are not expected to be effective and impactful in the Russian war. On Ukraine, as the military intervention of Europe will plunge it into a severe crisis, and there is no country in the world that can meet its need for gas if it enters into a war with Russia.

Fourth: At the local level, Putin took this measure knowing full well its consequences and the possible economic sanctions imposed by the international community, and he prepared for them in advance. Over the course of a decade, he reduced the domestic debts of the public and private sectors, and allowed the central bank enough time to build a war fund of foreign assets. Large enough, enough to support the country's finances for months, if not years, means that sanctions imposed by the European Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan and Canada are unlikely to have any significant impact on the Russian economy or its financial stability, the Guardian concluded. British in its report.

Based on this, it tends to say that Russia will not withdraw its forces from Ukraine until after ensuring its isolation from NATO and the influence of the American and European West, perhaps by overthrowing the Kyiv government, and replacing another government loyal to Russia, preventing Ukraine from being a base for NATO that threatens the interests of the Russians And pave the way for more Russian hegemony over the countries of the Soviet Union, to fulfill Putin's biggest dream of reviving the empire, which collapsed at the end of the last century. Putin has become a source of concern for America and the European Union, even Hillary Clinton, previously expressed these fears by saying that Putin seeks to rewrite the borders of Eastern Europe, and former British Defense Secretary Michael Fallon expressed his deep concern about Putin's foreign policy, and stated that he It poses a threat to the region through the covert tactics issued by the former Soviet republics, which would destabilize it in preparation for its annexation.

On the other hand, while we are talking about the conflict between the eastern and western camps, our Arab countries are watching the battle in idiocy, to see where their fate is heading on the map of the conflict, because until now they have not presented a unitary project that gathers its diaspora, and takes it to the ranks of the military forces And the major economic, whose fate is decided, and God is predominant over his affair, but most people do not know.