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What’s Next Move of DOGE?: Dogecoin Price Analysis

Elon Musk's Influence Dogecoin

By Jeewan GoswamiPublished 9 months ago 5 min read
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Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again captured the attention of the crypto space with its recent remarkable surge, gaining 25% in just two weeks. As traders and investors closely monitor DOGE's price movements, we delve into a comprehensive analysis using technical indicators and on-chain data to offer intriguing insights into what may lie ahead for this meme-inspired cryptocurrency.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

According to the analysis by renowned analyst Ali Martinez, DOGE has established a crucial support zone between $0.070 and $0.076. Within this price range, a staggering 452,000 wallets have acquired a significant amount of DOGE, totaling 51.4 billion coins. On the other hand, the cryptocurrency faces stiff resistance at $0.083 and $0.088, signaling potential hurdles for further upward momentum.

Optimism Surrounding DOGE

On-chain data firm Santiment adds to the optimism surrounding DOGE by highlighting that the average DOGE trader, active in the past year, is now in profit for the first time in 12 weeks, showing a 2.4% gain. This development is considered a significant milestone and could attract more interest from traders.

Potential for Profit-Taking

As more traders find themselves in profit, profit-taking becomes more likely, and this could lead to an increase in selling pressure. However, the DOGE social dominance indicator has not yet reached the dangerous "FOMO zone," indicating the possibility of a further upward surge.

Elon Musk's Influence

Undoubtedly, the current price momentum of Dogecoin is largely due to the influential figure of Elon Musk. Speculation has been rife that the meme coin may become a payment method on Twitter's rebranded platform, "X," and traders seem eager to front-run Musk's decision on this matter, given his vocal support for Dogecoin.

Perpetual Futures Market Surge

The speculation surrounding Elon Musk's influence has fueled a roaring surge in the perpetual futures market tied to DOGE, with notional open interest exceeding $512 million for the first time since April 19. On that day, DOGE traded at $0.0941 and experienced a price drop of about 19% over the next three days.

Cautious Optimism

While the influx of new money into the market is generally seen as a confirmation of an uptrend, traders should remain cautious. As profit-taking becomes more likely with more traders in profit, selling pressure could build up, potentially leading to a temporary pullback in DOGE's price. However, at press time, the open interest weighted-funding rates were close to zero, suggesting a balance between long and short positions.

DOGE/USD 1-Day Chart Analysis

As we examine the DOGE/USD 1-day chart, we notice that before the pump, DOGE had formed an ascending triangle formation signaling a trend reversal. As predicted, DOGE broke out above the resistance at $0.075 and initially stalled at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.0785). However, after a brief pause, the Dogecoin price continued its rally and climbed to $0.0839, where the bulls paused for the time being due to resistance.

Potential Future Price Movements

While the daily RSI is still not overbought at 68.5, another push higher seems possible. However, lower profit-taking seems to dominate the market for now, so a retest of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $0.0785 could be a likely scenario. If the bulls successfully defend this support, DOGE could rise another 20% to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $0.0937. The next target would then be the yearly high at $0.1044 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1066.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Dogecoin's recent price surge has once again brought the meme-inspired cryptocurrency into the limelight. Technical indicators and on-chain data show potential for further upward momentum, with key support and resistance levels to watch. However, traders should exercise caution, considering the possibility of profit-taking and selling pressure building up. The influence of Elon Musk remains significant, and any developments regarding DOGE's potential use on Twitter's platform could further impact its price.

FAQ - Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is Dogecoin (DOGE)?

A1. Dogecoin (DOGE) is a decentralized, peer-to-peer cryptocurrency that was created in 2013 as a lighthearted and fun alternative to Bitcoin. It features the Shiba Inu dog from the "Doge" meme as its logo, which has contributed to its widespread popularity and unique branding.

Q2. Why is Dogecoin gaining attention in the crypto space?

A2. Dogecoin has recently experienced a remarkable surge, gaining 25% in just two weeks. The surge has been attributed to several factors, including Elon Musk's public support for the cryptocurrency and speculation about it becoming a payment method on Twitter's rebranded platform, "X."

Q3. What are the key support and resistance levels for DOGE?

A3. According to renowned analyst Ali Martinez, DOGE has a crucial support zone between $0.070 and $0.076. On the other hand, the cryptocurrency faces stiff resistance at $0.083 and $0.088. These levels are closely watched by traders and investors as they indicate potential price movements.

Q4. How is on-chain data influencing DOGE's price?

A4. On-chain data firm Santiment highlights that the average DOGE trader, active in the past year, is now in profit for the first time in 12 weeks, showing a 2.4% gain. This milestone has sparked optimism among traders and could attract further interest in the cryptocurrency.

Q5. What impact does Elon Musk have on DOGE's price?

A5. Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, has been a vocal supporter of Dogecoin. His tweets and public statements about the cryptocurrency have often led to price fluctuations, as traders eagerly anticipate his potential influence on DOGE's adoption and usage.

Q6. What is the potential for profit-taking in DOGE?

A6. As more traders find themselves in profit due to DOGE's recent price surge, profit-taking becomes more likely. This could result in selling pressure building up, potentially leading to a temporary pullback in DOGE's price. However, the DOGE social dominance indicator has not yet reached the dangerous "FOMO zone," suggesting the possibility of a further upward surge.

Q7. How can technical analysis help predict DOGE's future price movements?

A7. Technical analysis involves studying past price movements and trading volumes to identify patterns and trends. Analysts use various technical indicators, such as Fibonacci retracement levels and RSI (Relative Strength Index), to make predictions about potential future price movements.

Q8. What are the potential future price levels for DOGE?

A8. Based on the current technical analysis, if the bulls successfully defend the support at $0.0785, DOGE could rise another 20% to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $0.0937. The next target would then be the yearly high at $0.1044 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1066.

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Jeewan Goswami

Hi Iam Jeewan Goswami

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