What is the right time to invest in the stock market, when the market is falling or when the market is rising ?

You only need to look at the market conditions to predict where large amounts of capital will move when they leave the stock market in order to make a lot of money. That's how easy it is.

Companies that generate free cash flow, such as oil and natural gas producers, are holding up very well in comparison to everything else as of mid-2022, despite the fact that the broad market indices have been suffering due to their overweight in frothy tech stocks.

Below is a glance.

Let me leave the blank for you.

• From 1990 to 2000, a flood of capital poured into IT stocks.
• From 2000 to 2008, a lot of money poured into energy stocks.
• From 2008 through 2020, a lot of money poured into tech stocks.
• 2020 to 2030: Massive Inflows of Capital Into ____ Stocks

If you've been following me for a while, you're aware that I've been banging the table about this capital shift away from tech stocks and toward companies involved in the production of energy and commodities, and we're only just getting started.

Despite the fact that the valuations of tech stocks are steadily declining, investing in them should be done with caution.

Did you know that Microsoft's stock fell from $55 to $25 when the dot-com bubble burst and the stock market reached its low point in 2002? By 2012, it was still trading at that price.

Yep, flat as them plains in Iowa…

The interesting thing is that while the stock price basically kept swinging from side to side, Microsoft's earnings really continued to increase.

• Blue Line: Value of the Microsoft stock.
• Pink Line: The P/E ratio for Microsoft.
• Microsoft's trailing 12-month EPS is shown in green.

Why did Microsoft's stock price from 2003 to 2010 not represent the company's extraordinary earnings?

People sometimes overlook the fact that an industry group accounts for 30% of an industry's rise in a stock, while the remaining 20% or so comes from the additional alpha from stock choosing. There are several macro bets in stock selecting. For instance, when a trader in equity is betting on airlines, he is also making an imbedded macro call on oil.

Do you remember how everyone was making money hand over fist by mindlessly purchasing tech stocks between 2010 and 2020? They all felt they were brilliant, but in reality, they were just sucking up to the low interest rate environment.

The same will occur with energy and commodities over the 2020s because to the inflationary scenario we are currently in. Making money will be simpler than putting on your shoes in the 2020s if you get the macro landscape right.

Here is the response.

Not sure where to begin?

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My achievement under Victoria Grace Lindsay

• Real estate in Finland (64x return)
• The previous commodities bull market (20x)
• Bitcoin (25x) (25x)
• Stock (50x)

Victoria Grace Lindsay is a deep value hedge fund broker, and is sharing her research and investment ideas with retail investors so that you can invest alongside her management system.

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