The History of Bull and Bear Market
Bull and Bear Market
Every market follows two market trends Bull and Bear. The terms Bull and Bear came into existence in the 18th century in England. These terms Bulls and Bears are referred to by the name of the animals because of their attacking position of prey and used to describe the market condition.
A bull stands straight and keeps his head down but horns upward straight in the air, which means now the prices are low, but they are going to rise soon. Or Bull Market is one in which the prices are initially low and then go high. A bull market is appreciating in value.
On the other hand, a bear stands straight and attacks the victim by keeping his claws downwards and tearing the flash, which shows that now the prices are high, but there will be a crash in prices. Or the Bear market is one in which prices are currently high and then go low. A bear market is depreciating in the value.
Most of the historical shreds of evidence show that the bear came into existence before the bull. In the early seventeenth century, the term “Bearskin” used in terms to sell and “Bearskin jobber” used for one who is selling.
Bear Market
When the economy of the country is falling, the rate of unemployment increases, time of recession, and prices of the stocks are declining, this market trend is known as Bear market. A market is considered as an actual bear market until there is 20% or more declination in the prices of stocks from recent highs.
The bear market shows recessions, unemployment and poverty in the nation. A bear market does not last long, but it could be dangerous to invest. But for some investors, a bear trend is the best opportunity to invest in those stocks which were out of budget at the time of the bull market. They buy good stocks at lower rates and wait until bull hits the market and makes a significant profit from this type of deal.
Bear Market Indicators
Depressed and sluggish economic growth
Decreasing stock prices
Higher unemployment rates
More investors take short positions
Raising interest rates
Tightened credit condition
Inverted yield curve
Long-term growth expectations changes
History of Market Crashes
Here is a list of the events when the Bear hit the market mightily and caused drastic loss to the market.
Event
Year
Percentage Change
Wall street crash
1929
-33.6%
End of Gold Standard
1931
-26.7%
World War II
1940
-24.6%
Post-WWII Demand Shock
1946
-16.9%
Black Monday
1987
-31.3%
LTCM
1998
-8.7%
Dot-Com Bubble
2002
-19.3%
Lehman Crisis
2008
-25.2%
Great Financial Crisis
2009
-13.8%
US Debt Downgrade
2011
-16.7%
COVID 19 Outbreak
2020
-20.7%
Bull Market
When the economy of the country is booming, the prices of stocks are going high, and there is a rise of 20% or more from the latest low point, this market trend is known as Bull Market. The bull market shows the prosperity of the nation. Bull markets tend to last for more extended periods and make much larger magnitudes than bear markets.
In the bull market, the condition of the economy is generally favourable. At the time of bull, the investors stay calm and enjoy their investment rising until they smell a bear coming forward.
Bull Market Indicators
High national income
A rise in stock price
Reduced unemployment rates
More and more investors take long positions.
Low-interest rates
Technology is on the boom.
Industrial production statistics are higher.
S&P 500 shows higher lows and higher highs
History of Bull Markets
Here is the list of events and years when the bull was in his full form and bounced the market up in the sky with its full throttle.
Event
Start Date
Months
S&P 500 Percent Change
Recovery from wall street crash
June 1932
57
325%
World War II
April 1942
49
158%
Post War Boom
June 1949
89
266%
Cold War Ramps up
October 1957
50
86%
JFK aims to get America moving again
June 1962
44
80%
The go-go years
October 1966
26
48%
Nifty Fifty
May 1970
32
74%
A Modest Bull
October 1974
74
126%
Reaganomics
August 1982
60
229%
Black Monday Comeback
December 1987
31
65%
Roaring 90s
October 1990
113
417%
Housing Boom
October 2002
60
102%
Long, Slow recovery
March 2009
131
348%
Bottom Line
There are two sides to everything one is positive, and one is negative. People define positive and negative according to their views of living life, and the same concept is applied to bull and bear markets. For some inventors, the bear market is the best opportunity and for some bull is the one. Both play an essential role and are considered beneficial and detrimental according to the perspective of the person.
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