Deception Of A Minor in World History

Always call for putting emotions aside for a correct understanding of international politics, because the world is not driven by emotions, but by the intersection of interests.

So I will leave emotion aside and return to it at the end.

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What is happening today between Russia and Ukraine is not the result of chance or surprise or a hasty decision in a moment of anger or indiscretion. But it is the result of successive and interrelated events since World War II through the Cold War period, the fall of the eastern camp of the Soviet Union, and the United States of America unilaterally leading the world.

I won't tell the whole story, but I'll come back to some highlights.

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization was established by the will of the United States of America after the end of World War II, and its main goal was to form a military bloc to confront the power and ambitions of the Soviet Union, and its declared role was "Defensive."

In 1958, the United States of America deployed nuclear missiles in Britain as part of the "Amili" project, and then deployed nuclear missiles in Italy and Turkey in 1961. In this way, it surrounded the Soviet Union with nuclear missile bases, which the Union considered an explicit threat to its existence.

In 1962, the Soviet Union launched Operation Anadyr and built short and medium-range nuclear missile bases on the island of Cuba and supplied them with surface-to-air missiles in complete secrecy.

On one of the reconnaissance flights, an American plane accidentally discovered the existence of these bases, and from here the Cuban missile crisis began.

The US military suggested a massive attack on Cuba, occupying it and destroying the missile bases, but the US President did not agree because he did not know the reaction of the Soviet Union.

This crisis was close to launching a global nuclear war between the United States of America and the Soviet Union. However, the two sides reached a political solution according to which the Soviet Union would withdraw nuclear missiles from Cuba and not provide Cuba with any advanced military technologies. In exchange, the United States would dismantle the missiles it had placed in Turkey.

NATO pledged not to approach the Soviet borders, but once the Soviet Union fell, it continued its policy of integrating new members, most of them from countries that were once part of the Soviet Union.

Today, the alliance includes 30 members, including three permanent members of the Security Council, which have the right of veto.

During the years of NATO expansion, the Russian Federation was a relatively weak state and was not able to object to NATO policy until it became very close to the Russian borders

Russia today is not the Russia of yesterday, as is the case with the United States of America and the entire world.

Russia under the leadership of Putin, who suckled the milk of the Soviet Union and grew up in the KGB, never forgot the defeat that experienced the union and American arrogance. Therefore, during the past twenty years, he reconstructed the Russian doctrine, especially the military, and chose his allies very carefully.

Russia is the second most powerful military power in the world, albeit at the expense of the relatively dilapidated Russian economy compared to the economies of other countries.

This military force was not developed to remain a static force, but to become an iron fist that protects the interests of the Russian Federation.

Ukraine has always been a country with a special status despite its separation from the Soviet Union. It has always been a semi-neutral country that does not threaten Russia's interests and does not stray far from the United States of America. And the situation continued in this state because it was a relatively satisfactory situation for all parties.

The situation continued until the outbreak of the Ukrainian revolution between 2013 and 2014. The revolution that erupted when the Ukrainian president refused to sign an association agreement with the European Union because he was pro-Russia and did not want to get close to the European Union.

In this revolution, the United States of America and some European countries supported the demonstrators until President Victor was overthrown.

This revolution was considered by Russia as a coup against its political accords with the United States of America, which was to leave Ukraine in the neutral position. 

In response to this revolution, Russia invaded the Crimea, which contains one of the most important ports in the Black Sea, and which includes a very important Russian naval base for the Russian Navy.

This lightning move from Russia exposed it to economic sanctions and its relationship with the United States of America deteriorated during the Democrats' rule led by Obama.

A few years later, the residents of the White House changed with the arrival of Trump, who was considered by everyone to be pro-Russian, especially some doubts about the interference of Russian intelligence in the American elections.

Trump created good relations with Putin and directed all his attention to China as the real danger. More importantly, Trump did not see the benefit of the existence of NATO and considered it a failed alliance that costs the United States of America exorbitant expenses as the largest contributor, while other countries such as Germany do not pay enough.

Trump's policy was based on America first, and he did not see a reason to pressure and restrict Russia, even with the crimes it committed in Syria against civilians. All this gave time for Russia to develop and test its military power in Syria and Libya.

After Trump's departure, the Democrats returned to the White House with a mentality close to Obama's, especially since the new president is the former Vice President of Obama and they share the same vision.

With the arrival of Biden, dreams of expanding NATO returned to the fore, and with the cooperation of the Americans and Englishmen, the Ukrainian president was singled out, who does not have any real political experience and does not realize the size of the political game taking place in the region.

These countries made generous promises to the Ukrainian president to include Ukraine in NATO, in addition to other European promises to include Ukraine in the European Union.

And because the ambitious and naive young president at the same time wanted to enter history from the widest of its doors and be the one who brought Ukraine into the European Union and also to NATO, he went along with the delusions of his allies and believed their promises and declared clear hostility to Russia and put his country in its path.

Unless the Ukrainian president considered that those who promised him did not have the courage to carry out their promises, but made him and his country a way to impose sanctions on Russia and undermine its power.

The United States of America and England do not care about Ukraine or other small countries, all they care about are their strategic interests.

The United States of America, after its humiliating withdrawal from Afghanistan without any coordination with the rest of the NATO countries with which it participated in the war, and also by abandoning the protection of the Gulf countries in the face of Iranian attacks and its military arms in the region, and also after its betrayal of its ally France in the Australian submarine deal, showed the world that it Not a reliable partner.

The United States of America and England (especially after its withdrawal from the European Union) no longer have the same interests with the rest of European countries such as Germany and France, but these two countries cannot currently get out from under the umbrella of the United States of America despite their dissatisfaction with the state of relations, as America is considered psychologically above all.

The United States of America pushed Ukraine into the abyss in order to achieve its strategic interests, which are imposing sanctions on Russia and engaging Russia in a long-term war without pushing the American soldiers to war.

America is used to proxy war, where other countries are fighting in their place. Today, it is repeating the same scenario that it experienced in the Middle East, but this time in Europe.

The US President has said it frankly, we will not send our soldiers to Ukraine and we will not enter into a direct war with Russia.

But at the same time, they are arming Ukraine and are pressuring the Ukrainian president not to negotiate with the Russians and to push his people to perdition. He asks them to resist and fight and promises them that the allies will send them weapons.

This president is either a patriot who does not want to give up his land, but he is naive, stupid and emotional, or he is the biggest traitor to Ukraine and to the Ukrainian people.

He said with grandeur of his tongue that he asked all the leaders of the countries: Do they guarantee him Ukraine's accession to NATO? But they did not answer him and left him alone, and no one fulfilled his promise to protect Ukraine, but they contented themselves with sending weapons.

It is madness to give weapons to civilians and send them to a war whose inevitable end will be known to everyone, even if the war and steadfastness are prolonged.

Ukraine will not withstand the Russian army. And the British Prime Minister’s statement encouraging the Ukrainian people to resist and that they succeeded in confronting Russia is nothing but a big lie and another trap to push the people to sacrifice and war and prolong the crisis because this serves the interests of England and America.

Everyone knows that the fact that the Russian army has not controlled all of Ukraine until the present time has nothing to do with the strength of the Ukrainian army or the popular resistance, but it is due to two main reasons:

The first reason

That Russia entered Ukraine with only a third of the army that was standing on the border during the past months and did not move all its forces and does not use its lethal weapons as much as it used in Syria.

The second reason

Is that the Russian forces do not fight with extreme caution because they do not want to harm civilians or residential areas, not because they are a dove of peace, but because they do not want to enter into a conflict with the Ukrainian people because this will make it an occupying country and the Ukrainians will never accept it even if it destroys all the army The Ukrainians, and what happened to America in Afghanistan and Iraq will happen to them.

Russia wants to bring down the government, destroy the Ukrainian army, establish a government loyal to it, and then get out of Ukraine, and this will not be achieved if it attacks and kills civilians as it killed Syrians.

Personally, I think that the Ukrainian people are paying the cost of the mistakes of their president, who made his country a tool in the hands of the United States of America and England, a tool with which to provoke Russia.

European countries will not fight for Ukraine, and European peoples are not ready to abandon their prosperity and enter into a third world war for Ukraine.

They are also not ready to impose harsh sanctions on Russia because these sanctions will harm Russia and the whole world because Russia is a very important player in the global energy market.

Russia has the right to guarantee its national security, and I am sure that if Russia was the one who deployed nuclear weapons in Cuba a second time, the United States of America would occupy Cuba as it would have done in the Cuban crisis.

The United States of America does not want to make concessions to Russia and agree to Russia's demands and end the crisis, because it considers itself a country that does not make concessions, because if it does, it will encourage other countries such as China and Iran to challenge America.

I hope that the Ukrainian president will wake up from his slumber and think about the interests of his people away from emotions and dreams of cinematic heroism and to sit down to negotiate with Russia, especially after he witnessed with his own eyes the abandonment of the countries that deceived him.

Personally, I am against war because the victim is the people. As for the Ukrainian army, I do not stand in solidarity with it or against it, because I do not see the world with two faces. This army participated in the invasion of Iraq, the attack on a fully sovereign state, the killing of civilians and the destruction of the country. Therefore, I do not think of emotion as someone who publishes a picture of a Ukrainian soldier with his girlfriend thinks, with a red rose in his hand, as if he were an innocent angel.

The same is true with the Russian army, as it is a criminal army whose hands are still stained with the blood of the Syrians.

However, I do not hope that this will happen to the Ukrainian people, because they are a good people who dream of a better future, and they have the right to do so.

Unfortunately, as I said, the world is weighing the scales of interests. The sanctions that were imposed on Russia for attacking Ukraine were not imposed on it when it intervened in Syria and Libya and committed war crimes.

As for the residents of countries who do not care about what is happening or who gloat about the Ukrainian people, I tell them what happens there will be reflected on everyone without exception, and that tomorrow we will see it soon. 

As for gloating in the other, this is a moral decadence. As for those who used to say we do not care about Syria and what concerns us is the interests of our country, then today they sympathize with Ukraine, so I invite them to look at their faces in the mirror before putting on the mask of humanity, as the latter does not know two faces

In the end, politics knows no emotion. It is not necessary to be deceived by external interventions, nor should we be completely dependent on any state, whatever it is, as everyone leaves everyone when interests conflict.