A True Presidential Landslide Is Impossible to Win

Pundits from both sides are predicting a Trump landslide in 2020 if the Democrats nominate a socialist and communist sympathizer with Bernie Sanders. The Left is so dug in with their hate of President Trump that it won’t matter. Politicians on the Left support his radical ideas but don’t have the guts to say it. That’s why Sanders is so popular and the Left will vote for anyone but Trump.

Democrats hate the Electoral College because it didn’t give them the results they wanted in 2016. They didn’t have a problem with it when Obama was crushing inept Republican nominees. They shouldn’t want to throw the baby out with the bathwater because they still have built-in advantages in large states.

Most of the Electoral College map is locked in. Democrats pile up votes in California, New York, and Illinois. Those 104 electoral votes have no chance of going Republican. Democrats controlled Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin until the last election. Trump won those by narrow margins which could swing the other way in 2020.

The Republicans only have one big state to count on with Texas. Florida and Ohio are trending red so that’s ground Republicans could count on. The rest are states that go Republican are in the south and Midwest where the electoral vote numbers are smaller. The Republican Party may as well disband on the entire west coast because they have no chance in any state.

This election won’t be a real landslide because the Democratic nominee will win or lose the popular vote by a small margin. It’s impossible for Trump to have a big popular vote victory due to major metropolitan areas on the coasts. It could be a landslide in the Electoral College, but a close popular vote. We won’t ever see anything like the Reagan landslide in 1984 when he won 49 states by 18,000,000 votes. There must have been something in the lakes in Minnesota that year.

There’s no shared vision for America’s future. It’s remarkable how far apart the major parties have become. There used to be basic things both sides agreed on, but that’s a thing of the past. It’s a binary choice with no gray areas. It’s impossible for anyone to win a landslide in this political climate.

The Left envisions open borders, massive government spending on social programs, government-run industries (especially healthcare), a politically correct culture, confiscation of wealth from the rich by drastic tax increases, emphasizing social justice, abolishing fossil fuels for green energy, a smaller military, and blames America first for all the world’s problems .

Conservatives want the rule of law enforced and respected by all, lower taxes, reduced government regulation, an all of the above energy policy, a strong military, embrace free enterprise, impartial justice, an originalist interpretation of the Constitution, believes America isn’t perfect, but always striving to be better.

These are stark differences and most Americans have one view or the other. It’s becoming more difficult to find common ground. Democrats will get huge numbers of votes in California and New York. Those are the areas where President Trump is the least popular. That will have a dramatic effect on the popular vote, but prevent voters from a couple of parts of the country deciding the election.

The results of the election will be razor-thin in some fashion. The popular vote will be close this time, but no one can predict the Electoral College margin. A few thousand votes in the Midwest will decide who wins. It’s impossible to win a 49 state landslide as Reagan did. Certain parts of the country on both sides are dug in and aren’t budging.