The end of the world order and the continuity of history

The Russian war against Ukraine is a real earthquake in international relations, and a turning point that bears geopolitical consequences in its deepest meaning. History” where a new world order will emerge.

The belief prevailed in political and academic circles for decades, including during the Cold War, that it was impossible for major events to occur, especially in the European continent or the West and Russia, that would make the course of history change, as happened in historical periods not so distant as the Second World War, or the communist revolution in 1917. .

This feeling is due to two factors. The first is psychological. Every generation believes that it is experiencing the “stagnation of history” and its dynamism has stopped. This is a sentiment that the American academic Francis Fukuyama translated incorrectly, in his book “The End of History” when he talked about the supremacy of the liberal order forever. Despite the incorrectness of this theory and the retraction of its owner from it, the resulting feeling continues to dominate until major events occur, and they constitute a surprise, while it is not considered a surprise at all, but rather a manifestation of the dynamism of history. The second factor is reflected in a dangerous hierarchy witnessed in the world of ideas production, as the West is the main producer of ideas, and often thinks within a specific geographical area, which is the West and its interests, while what is happening in other regions is considered secondary, and it seems that public opinion in the West is now discovering the true meaning The war that the United States launched against Iraq, after standing on the bitterness of the invasion of a European country, and the danger of this invasion spreading to other European countries. At the same time, this public opinion began to discover the bitter truth of the refugee issue, although some deal with it with the racism of the “blond-eyed Christian refugee” from Ukraine and the “brown Muslim refugee” from Yemen and Afghanistan. Perhaps the most prominent negative aspect of Western thinking is that in the twenties and early thirties of the twentieth century, that is, the following years that followed the First World War, geopolitical thinking began to revive. The participants in the decision-making process how half of the world was boiling for liberation from colonialism in the Asian and African continent, and how the Versailles Agreement paved the way for the worst war known to mankind.

The absence of an understanding of the dynamics of history is the most dangerous thing that thinkers and states can face, especially those who are ignorant of the extent of the impact of past events, and believe in their non-recurrence, and then those who believe in the occurrence of geopolitical changes at the level of countries, regions or the world in the long run, that is, does not affect them It will affect subsequent generations.

Since the beginning of the current century, that is, during 22 years, the world has accumulated many events that strongly marked the march of this generation, and will cause many major events in the short, medium and long term, because they left wounds that did not heal, knowing that a number of cultures and nations do not forget the tragedies past, caused by the other. We look at how Algeria demands France to correct the tragedies of French colonialism, but rather how Mexico demands Spain to correct the tragedies of colonialism dating back five centuries.

These developments occur in every country and in every region, such as the Arab world, South America, the African Sahel region, East Asia, or... If a national file does not explode, a regional, international and global file will explode. Perhaps the current Russian-Ukrainian crisis is a shining example in this regard. It was believed that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict was under control and concerned only two countries, and despite the dangerous harbingers that were taking shape, the world preferred to remain in the “comfort zone” until it was surprised by a crisis that would return the war to the heart of Europe, raising the voices of “lazy thinkers” saying, “No one was He is waiting for war to return to the heart of Europe in the twenty-first century.” Other lazy voices link what is happening to President Vladimir Putin's ambitions. In connection with this, he began to publish a number of reports that dealt with his psyche and way of thinking, to present him in a suit that is close to “Hitler”, while the matter is related to Russia’s national security, which goes beyond Putin himself. He raised, with great force and concern, the issue of the expansion of the Atlantic Alliance, former President Boris Yeltsin, Despite his favoritism for the West, every next Russian president will put it forward in search of a security balance. The current war will have major effects that affect mainly the West, which seemed weak against Russia in Europe, but do not forget that the United States will act in the same way, if a Latin American country threatens its national security. Washington was prepared for a global nuclear war in 1962 when the Soviet Union wanted to deploy Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba, and the world lived in conditions like the present, but without an American invasion of Cuba in the end. The current war will have major effects that affect mainly the West, which seemed weak against Russia in Europe, but do not forget that the United States will act in the same way, if a Latin American country threatens its national security. Washington was prepared for a global nuclear war in 1962 when the Soviet Union wanted to deploy Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba, and the world lived in conditions like the present, but without an American invasion of Cuba in the end. The current war will have major effects that affect mainly the West, which seemed weak against Russia in Europe, but do not forget that the United States will act in the same way, if a Latin American country threatens its national security. Washington was prepared for a global nuclear war in 1962 when the Soviet Union wanted to deploy Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba, and the world lived in conditions like the present, but without an American invasion of Cuba in the end.

This war, which remains one of the wars that the world is witnessing, but the great interest in it is due to the scene of its occurrence: Europe, and then the geopolitical changes that result from it, especially on the West, including the end of the new world order in the form that it was in since the beginning of the nineties, the history of the collapse of The Berlin Wall, confirms the continuity of the dynamism of history and the extent of the impact of the chain of events at the end of one world order and the emergence of another. The Ukraine-Russia war comes to confirm: “The end of the world order and the continuity of history.”