The Risk of Nuclear War from the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Even though a war is usually the fault of the attacker, it should be emphasized that Russia’s failure in their commitment to safeguarding Ukraine’s territorial integrity in the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 is a serious breach, making this an unusually obvious case of aggression. The annexation of Crimea in 2014 has already broken this rule.

Since 2005, the Ukrainian government has pushed for NATO membership, culminating in a discussion of the matter at the 2008 Bucharest Summit, during which NATO decided not to offer membership at the time due to the French and German opposition, as well as a lack of backing from the United States.

Early in NATO’s history, there was an effort to satisfy Russia by not expanding NATO’s reach too far east, but this was a major mistake, as claimed by Ukraine’s leader today. At the time of Ukraine’s entry into the EU, German Chancellor Angela Merkel was a vocal opponent of the country’s membership, but she was not the only one.

Not to the knowledge of many, Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel said in 2008 that Ukraine was a "corruption catastrophe," which she was probably very careful about her comment, as it could have prevented an earlier war. With her wisdom, she had determined that for Ukraine to join NATO would be a very wrong choice, but the situation has changed since she left office, and the new Ukraine President has been persistent even until today in trying to get into NATO.

Ukrainians have only been able to apply for EU membership since Yanukovich’s fall from office. A few requirements must be met first, and this is unlikely to happen while the battle is still in progress. As a result, the President of Ukraine’s criticism of Miss Merkel is unfounded, as Germany knew she would only cause devastation to Europe.

From recent events, we have seen how Ukraine has been used as a pawn by the United States and other NATO members to entrap Russia on the battlefield of Ukraine. The United States has admitted it has been training its forces in Poland in preparation for a possible all-out war, and weeks before the invasion, the U.S. kept insisting that the war would happen.

A few million people have fled their homes, and the situation is likely to develop further. Despite the fact that the war’s onslaught has only hurt Ukrainian citizens, Ukraine’s leader has not awoken to the fact that the war has been destroying its citizens even after 40 days.

Besides Putin, Nato’s war president, the President of the European Commission, and Ukraine’s President, they have all been known to be unstable in recent events due to the conflict, and typically for Ukraine, we don’t see much effort on their part to help their countrymen, who have been left in despair and trying to escape for their safety.

In response to the worldwide outcry over his invasion of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has reportedly increased the nuclear threat, putting the world’s largest nuclear arsenal on operational alert and putting everyone on notice.

In the event that Russia were to use a nuclear weapon, what would happen?

What would be the global ramifications? It’s an impossible question to answer.

Data scientists from one of the U.S.’s premier institutions in New Jersey have actually created "A Nuclear War Missile Trajectory Simulation Model," a data-driven simulation with real targets, weapons, and strategies as US commanders prepared for the conflict.

It was recently broadcast, and I want to describe some of the critical scenarios so that everyone can share them and convince all leaders to think about these high-risk scenarios that could result in the end of the world within a few weeks if NATO and the US ignore the simulation model, which could result in as many as 5 million casualties across Europe within a few days if the situation gets out of control.

At the root of it all is an on-going struggle between Russia and Ukraine. NATO and the United States provide weapons and training for this force, and they have been successful in countering attacks.

What will happen when Putin is being pushed out of his comfort zone can not be predicted, as it seems all the sanctions, especially on his family, will have the most effect on him.

First, in the simulation model, what if Russia sends a "warning shot" to NATO with a "tactical" nuclear bomb to demonstrate its commitment to nuclear weapons?

A nuclear tactical missile is launched by NATO at Russia’s launch facility, which is misinterpreted by military strategists.

NATO is horrified by Russia’s nuclear threshold breach. As a result, Europe is plunged into a massive tactical nuclear battle as they take action to destroy the first launchpad. Russia took the counterattack as a direct attack by NATO.

As a result, a large-scale tactical nuclear war breaks out across Europe.

In the software model, the program simulates the use of aircraft, submarines, fighter jets, and short-range ballistic missiles with consideration of different targets launched by different NATO member countries (especially those with nuclear missile launch sites).

Russia worsens the situation by unleashing 300 nuclear warheads on NATO infrastructure and military forces across Europe. In the crossfire and effects of the nuclear strike in the Gulf region of Europe, NATO launched 180 nuclear missiles against Russian targets, effectively leveling the continent and killing 2.6 million people in under three hours in most portions of occupied countries near the targets.

Now that Europe has been annihilated, the United States responds by deploying up to 600 intercontinental ballistic missiles with nuclear bombs from land and sea toward Russia. Russia went on to launch ballistic and hypersonic missiles in response to the Grand America.

The Russian nuclear missiles are still flying above the US, compelling the country to fire all of its nuclear-capable intercontinental ballistic missiles before the enemy missiles destroy their own launch facilities.

Up to 3.3 million people are expected to die during this phase. In the last phase, Russia and the U.S. may each launch five to ten nuclear bombs at each other’s most populated cities and economic hubs, depending on the size of their respective population bases, in order to sabotage each other’s recovery.

Up to 84 million people could die as a result of this phase. As a result, using more than 2400 nuclear missiles, this nuclear war could kill 33 million people and injure more than 56 million people in less than six hours.

In addition, this only applies to the most recent battle phase. A nuclear war will definitely kill the entire world, and this simulation, when viewed in the context of the current standoff between Russia and NATO, serves as a stark reminder of how close the end may be.

We hope that all critics remember that everyone has a family and that all efforts by those directly affected by the WAR must stop expanding the WAR. As someone mentioned, he has a clear mind, but there are those who say that a person who might go to the "extreme" is usually a person who knows he has a medical situation, and in our last article, we noted his birth date is similar to that of the Ukraine President, who both have a similar fate, as according to metaphysic numerology, both men are extreme and will do things beyond anybody’s expectations.

Another larger crisis can be prevented if NATO sends out a signal that it is not going to expand the war. As long as they re-focus to treat the war as a humanitarian crisis and start to send more aid instead of arms. NATO and the EU report to the Europeans, not the Americans or the British government, and they should have the foresight to make the right decision to keep the world safe.

In a recent meeting at the EU commission, we noticed some law makers have already foreseen with great wisdom and are trying to restrict further escalation. The only issue is that there are also many corrupt officials in alignment with the U.S who only seek power and want the war to drag on.