US Presidential Election 2020, Trump vs Biden: See Latest Poll Results

I like to categorically state here that any of the Presidential contenders may still win the election considering what happened in the 2016 Presidential election between Trump and the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Many polls did not get it right by predicting that Hillary would win the election. When the final tally was tabulated from all 50 states, Hillary won the popular votes with 65,844,954(48.2%) while Trump with 62,979,879 (46.1%) was the winner of the election based on the Electoral College result.

US Presidential Election 2020, Trump vs Biden: See Latest Poll Results
Trump Vs Biden

There is roughly 4 months and two weeks left for the US Presidential Election coming up on November 3, 2020. Many Polls have been conducted lately between Republican President Donald Trump, and the presumed Democratic nominee, former vice President Joe Biden.

What I have decided to do here is to summarize major US Poll results to see the possible outcome of the November election. I nonetheless like to warn that any of the Presidential contenders may still win the election considering what happened in the 2016 Presidential election between Donald Trump and the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton.

Many polls did not get it right then by predicting that Hillary could win the election. The final tally for the 2016 election from all 50 states was 65,844,954(48.2%) for Hillary and 62,979,879 (46.1%) for Trump. Although Hillary won the popular votes by nearly 3 million votes, Trump won the election based on the Electoral College results which emphasize winner of the majority of the American States.

Electoral College requires 270 to become President

Many Americans charge that the Electoral College system is an outdated and undemocratic system that has served the needs of the founders at that time. Many suggest that times have changed and that in 2020 America deserves a totally democratic election process which emphasizes the winner based on popular votes.

The Electoral College issue is still unresolved as we speak, so the winner of the US Presidential Election in November must also win the Electoral College votes as well. Most Americans want to deal away with the Electoral College. Senator Elizabeth Warren said during the Democratic Primaries that, “Every vote matters , and the way we can make that happen is that we can have national voting and that means get rid of the Electoral College."

To change and abolish the Electoral College system requires a total overhaul of the US Presidential Election process and needs a Constitutional Amendment that requires the votes of two-thirds of the U.S. House of Representatives, two-thirds of the Senate, and three-fourths of the states. So the process of abolishing the Electoral College is very problematic and difficult.

Analysis of Recent Presidential Election Polls 2020

Biden Vs Trump

Battleground States Poll on June 25, 2020

Florida Poll conducted by New York Times/Siena – Trump 41% vs Biden 47%

Wisconsin Poll Conducted by NY Times/Siena-Trump 38% vs Biden 49%

Michigan Poll conducted by New York Times/Siena –Trump 36% vs Biden 47%

Pennsylvania Poll conducted by New York Times/Siena Trump 40% vs Biden 50%

North Carolina Poll conducted by New York Times/Siena Trump 40% vs Biden 49%

Arizona Poll conducted by New York Times/Siena-Trump 41% vs Biden 48%

General Election Poll conducted on June 25, 2020 Trump vs Biden

CNBC Poll-- Trump 38% vs Biden 47%

General Election Poll conducted on June 25, 2020, Trump vs Biden

Economist/YouGov—Trump 41% vs Biden 49%

New York Times/Siena-- Trump 36% vs Biden 50%

General Election Poll conducted on June 23, 2020, Trump vs Biden

Harvard/Harris --Trump 44% vs Biden 56%

General Election Poll conducted on June 18, 2020, Trump vs Biden

Fox News --Trump 38% vs Biden 50%

Quinnipiac--Trump 41% vs Biden 49%

CNBC /Change Research-- Trump 41% vs Biden 51%

Economist/YouGov--Trump 41% vs Biden 50%

Conclusion

The November 2020 US Presidential election like previous elections will be decided based on the Electoral College results and not on the winner of the popular votes. I looked at the most current polling results beginning with the Battleground states. Those states referred to as the Battleground states will ultimately decide the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential election.

The battleground states include Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan, Ohio, and Arizona. From all the Polls examined, the result shows that Biden is leading Trump in 6 of 7 battleground states. Trump appears to be holding his ground in Ohio. One must warn nonetheless that the poll results are the current view of the polled voters on who they would vote for, if the election was conducted today. With about 4 months and two weeks to go, the polling results may shift in future polls.

The same trends are also reflected in the general election polls between Trump and Biden, where the challenger Biden holds an overwhelming lead against President Trump. In all, this conclusion was drawn from the 14 polling results examined here and I like to repeat that polls fluctuate with circumstance and time. The polls examined included both liberal and conservative media organizations. The margin of error hovers around 5%.

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Paul Oranika
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