The "man-made crisis" that lies ahead

This is already something that we all see very clearly now! However, if we say that before 2017, although the United States also constantly creating chaos, we can not say this about the United States, because the United States is the boss, the world as a whole is still relatively stable, and the major powers are not completely to the point of incompatibility.

However, all this changes because the United States positioned China as the "number one adversary", and then launched a trade war with China, and after the failure of the trade war to accelerate the "new cold war". The U.S. positioning of China as the "number one adversary" means that the U.S. is bound to pull more countries together against China and Russia. For the United States, it is no longer possible for him to deal with China and Russia at the same time, and it is even impossible to subdue China alone, in this case, he must promote East-West confrontation. This war between Russia and Ukraine is an "artificial crisis" created by the United States under the guidance of this thinking.

To maintain hegemony and block China's development, the United States has positioned China as its "number one adversary" and will do everything possible to suppress it in the next five years, which is the biggest source of all problems. The reason why the U.S. must take Russia first is that without creating a "formidable" enemy in Russia, the U.S. will not be able to control the power of the entire West in its own hands. Moreover, the consequence of a direct "one-on-one" contest between China and the United States is that Russia and Europe will come closer together and then eat up the hegemonic interests of the United States on a global scale. Based on this logic, the United States must first create a confrontation between Russia and Europe and then create a confrontation between China and Europe.

Think about it, so create a confrontation between Russia and the West, and then create a confrontation between China and the West, and the world can still not be chaos? The aftermath of the various war crises created by the United States after the collapse of the Soviet Union, coupled with the chaos created by the United States against China and Russia in the past five years, constitute the current world's almost insurmountable ongoing crisis. It is also based on such a pattern, Jimbo thinks that the next one or two decades of global crises will continue, war, plague, and hunger ------ these disasters will plague humanity in the longer term, and all of this the United States is the root cause.

In this context, we then look at the Russia-Ukraine war. Many people think that war can not fight for too long, Jimbo thinks this is we stay in the era of peace for a long time, forgetting that in recent history there was World War I and World War II. And, now this century of unprecedented change, the political and economic order of the restructuring level Jimbo think is more than World War I and World War II. World War I and World War II, the essence of the Western powers, is their colonies are not enough to compete for the interests of the cause, and ultimately the global wrapped in, the core of global power or in the West. But this time is different, this time, China is one of the most important forces in the world, which means that this global political and economic order reorganization involves a larger scope than World War I and World War II.

Against the backdrop of the greatest change in a hundred years, the Russia-Ukraine war broke out when the conflicts between the major powers could not be reconciled. In this case, how could the war end soon before it had a result? In this war, Russia has not given up its political goals, he must insist on the "demilitarization" and "de-Nazification" of Ukraine; the United States has not given up its political goals, he is to create sharp confrontation between Russia and Europe, and then further The U.S. control of NATO, and then provoke confrontation between China and the West as a whole, thus creating a "new Cold War", it is clear that the U.S. goal is now far from the U.S., how can the U.S. give up?

Therefore, the war must continue to fight! Two things have just happened to prove this point.

The first thing: is Russia's military expansion. This Russian military expansion is a very big thing, which shows that the Kremlin's judgment of the future world situation is undergoing a major change. The Russian presidential decree says: "The strength of the armed forces of the Russian Federation is set at 2039,758, including 1,150,628 military personnel." And according to the decree issued by the Russian President in 2017, starting from January 1, 2018, the strength of the armed forces of the Russian Federation is set at 19,027,508, including 101,3628 military personnel. In other words, the increase in the number of troops is 137,000.

But is the increase of 137,000 people enough? In the long run, it is still not enough, but the size of the increase in troops is certainly a gradual process. Igor Korotchenko, editor-in-chief of the Russian magazine "Defense", believes that this expansion is related to the increase in external threats to Russia. The expert said, "I believe in the principle that we must add 500,000 people to the armed forces in the future." He also tends to believe that this expansion will be achieved exclusively through an increase in contract military personnel. Russia is expanding direct combat troops, not conscripts.

According to Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, quoted by Russia's TASS news agency, the number of contract soldiers in the Russian armed forces reached 352,000 back at the end of 2015, surpassing the number of conscripts and sailors for the first time. According to the plan set by the Russian Defense Ministry for the 2019-2025 development, the number of contract soldiers will increase to 475,600. And Putin has increased the number of contract soldiers by 137,000 this time alone, which is still a large enough percentage. Imagine if it is true that the eventual increase of 400,000 to 500,000 contract soldiers means that the number of contract soldiers in Russia will double. Under what circumstances would such an increase in troops be justified? One can only say that Russia has made a significant change in its judgment of the long-term future national security situation.

This is the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian war. On the one hand, Russia needs to promote the battlefield in Ukraine as soon as possible to achieve results; on the other hand, Russia also needs to further prepare for the future, Russia will have to face NATO, so Putin is ready for a confrontation with NATO.

The second thing: Immediately after announcing $775 million in equipment aid to Ukraine, the U.S. announced another $3 billion in equipment aid to Ukraine, which means that in the past six months, the scale of U.S. aid to Ukraine is as high as $13.6 billion. Although the water of this aid is relatively large, and many pieces of equipment are old goods sold at high prices, this is still a very large number, and it does create huge problems for Russia.

The core of why the United States increased military aid is to continue to expand the war, dragging Russia into a bigger war quagmire, and then forcing Russia to make bigger bets, so that the United States can create a bigger crisis between Russia and the EU, and also a little closer to the goal the United States wants. So, the U.S. will never give up this war easily.

Now the latest news is that the Russian media is reporting that the U.S. will not only name the U.S. operation in Ukraine but also appoint a commander specifically to command the war against Russia. If this report is true, it would mean two things.

One is that the U.S. will become more deeply involved in the Russo-Ukrainian war and will increase its military assistance and battlefield control in Ukraine, which is not good news for Russia but is a good indication that the U.S. is seeking to expand the war.

The second is that the U.S. is prepared to concentrate more NATO forces against Russia, especially naming operations and delegating senior commanders, which means the U.S. will mobilize more NATO resources to fight the Russians and believes the war is being prolonged.

All of the above US-Russian actions indicate that the war between Russia and Ukraine is being perpetuated and there is a risk of further expansion of the scope. In Jimbo's opinion, if this trend, the further expansion of the war is almost a certain outcome, including the expansion to countries outside of Ukraine, such as Belarus, Poland, etc.

If the scale of the war between Russia and Ukraine is further expanded, and the United States insists on provoking trouble in the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula, the war will spread to Asia. If the United States must provoke trouble, the war will inevitably expand in scope. There is also the possibility of new wars breaking out in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.

War is coming to humanity, and we need to be more prepared! The future, as a whole, will no longer be a time of peace, but a time when war may find its way to us at any time! For this, we need to be on high alert!