Putin May Be Vulnerable.

It seems the war between Ukraine and Russia just drags on and on. Right now the major flashpoint is in the east of the country. Of course, Russia still fires missiles and launches drones at Ukrainian targets military or otherwise.

Rumours still abound that Russia may try another invasion as it did last February. Will it be a smash-and-grab attempt to seize Kyiv more successfully this time? Or something else? We will see what happens when the next month rolls around.

Can Russia divert its troops from the hard fighting in eastern Ukraine? Does it have the manpower? Will it have to draft men into the army to shore up its losses? All this Putin will have to consider if he does order Russian forces to try a mass invasion from the north once again.

Sir Richard Dearlove told GB News that Vlad the Invader seems vulnerable. Every time bad news comes back from the war about some Russian reversal does it make Putin's position increasingly untenable?

Sir Richard speculated that if Russia loses the war could Putin be removed. Certainly, there must be those who know Putin's handling of the war has been disastrous. They must be asking can Russia win the war? How long must this war go on? What would a Russian victory look like? Would it be a total conquest of Ukraine or would it be an accommodation with Ukraine?

Many medical analysts observing Putin say he is not well. Are they speaking mentally or physically ill or both? They say his health could be affecting his ability to do his job. Hence Putin is making irrational decisions that are not delivering for Russia on the battlefield.

The process of removing Putin is undefined according to Sir Richard. Could the Russian President be removed on the grounds of health? Where Putin would willingly or be forced from office where he would retire to a sanatorium?

Who could remove him? His military officers could stage a coup or his own political party. Or Putin if he cannot handle the job any more could resign on the grounds of health. Just like Jacinda Ardern has done in New Zealand. However, Russia is a macho country so it is unlikely that Putin would admit to not being able to do the job. Putin likes to portray himself as an action man so admitting he cannot handle the job would be seen as a weakness. Even admitting ill health as the grounds for stepping down would look like weakness.

Putin has his eye on history and wants to be remembered as the man who made Russia great again. But the Ukraine war far from flowing in the way he thought it would has gone badly wrong for him. The Ukrainians under their President Zelensky has put up a heroic resistance.

Their training by the West and the use of Western technological weapons has blunted Russia. Now Britain has sent Challenger 2 tanks and Poland may be sending German-made Leopard tanks to Ukraine. The end of the war may be in sight. Obviously, as mentioned before if the war goes Ukraine's way it would not be a happy outcome for Putin.

Once more though as with everything about this war it is all speculation. The war might end tomorrow or the war might go on ad infinitum. When the war first started many thought it might lead to a wider war. Or even nuclear weapons might be used in the theatre of operations.

Thankfully not of this has come to pass but the war has woken the world up to the fact that deadly conflict is still very much with us.