No Natural Immunity Against Coronavirus
No vaccine and no herd immunity may mean we must change our way of life.
It's important to understand what terms mean when we speak about them. Herd immunity refers to the condition of humanity when most human beings have been inoculated against a particular disease. This means that the viruses or bacteria cannot find a host because human beings are carrying antibodies against that particular condition.
Human beings do not develop a natural immunity against a disease when a certain number of people have had the illness. If that were so, measles, HIV, Ebola, mumps, or any other illness would have been eliminated a long time ago. That has not happened.
It is also demonstrated in the fact that measles is now coming back because a certain percentage of the population refuse to be vaccinated.
The only time we will have herd immunity against Coronavirus is when we have all been vaccinated against it.
When we speak about vaccination, we mean that we are injected with either a weak solution of the virus or a dead one, and the body creates antibodies against it. In some instances, those antibodies last a lifetime. In other illnesses, like flu, they only last a few months.
Why Coronavirus May Never Have a Vaccine
Evidence now shows that the antibodies in the bodies of those who have recovered from Covid-19 only lasts for about a month. Then they can get the disease again. This would explain why about 10% of the Chinese patients were infected a second time. They were unlucky enough to be in the wrong place at the wrong time.
This is in line with the coronavirus that causes flu. Immunity only lasts for a few weeks, and then people can get flu again. It is also why new flu vaccines are created every year. The flu keeps mutating, and immunity isn't forever. To date, no permanent vaccine has been developed against a coronavirus.
QUOTE FROM THE ARTICLE BELOW: "More than 30 years after scientists isolated HIV, the virus that causes Aids, we have no vaccine. The dengue fever virus was identified in 1943, but the first vaccine was approved only last year, and even then amid concerns it made the infection worse in some people. The fastest vaccine ever developed was for mumps. It took four years."
What We Know about Covid-19
- Coronavirus is highly infectious and spreads from person to person, sometimes without the host even being aware that they are carrying the virus or showing symptoms (asymptomatic).
- The virus is spread through droplets that come from the host through coughing, sneezing, and talking. When the droplet leaves the mouth of the person (or the nose), it remains in the air for up to fifteen minutes before it drops to the ground.
- The virus is not airborne because it is too heavy. If it was airborne, it wouldn't drop to the ground.
- The virus remains 'alive' on a surface for up to seven days with steel and plastic enabling it to survive the longest. Scientists have indicated that people don't generally pick up the virus from surfaces.
- The virus is mutating every two weeks, but so far has not mutated to become more infectious or into a more dangerous disease.
- The virus attacks the lungs predominantly, and eventually the patient can't breathe. This is why ventilators have been required.
- The more viruses a host breathes in, the more dangerous the ensuing illness.
- Children demonstrate the illness in a different way. Their bodies become highly inflammatory, and an increasing number of children are dying from this.
- In Germany, the highest number of people who were infected were men in their 40s. In Italy, it was the older population. The virus appears to be more serious in people who have compromised immune systems and have other health conditions. However, healthy people have died from it as well. So nobody is safe from the virus.
- Those people who have recovered have not always recovered fully, and it appears that kidneys and other areas of the body have been permanently injured.
- The virus travels up to six feet away from the person who is hosting it.
The Best Ways to Protect Against Covid-19
- Wearing a mask is the best protection against breathing in SARS-CoV-2 because the mask prevents someone who is quietly infectious but not showing signs of being ill (asymptomatic) from spewing droplets to someone else. Also, should there be some of those viruses floating about in the air, and should one be wearing a mask, the mask will prevent inhalation.
- Social distancing is also a reliable way of preventing contact with the virus. The fewer people we come into contact with means that statistically we have less chance of endangering our health. If we do need to speak to people, it's best to be standing six feet away because if they are spewing viruses into the air, we will be out of reach.
Unhappily, as people have done throughout the ages, it's the only way we can prevent ourselves from being infected. Quarantine was evident even in biblical times when lepers were isolated from the community. While traditionally, it was only the sick people who were isolated, the problem with Covid-19 is that people don't know they are ill initially and therefore are still spreading the virus.
How Fast is Covid-19 Mutating?
The latest research indicates that Covid-19 is mutating every two weeks. So far, it has not mutated into anything more dangerous to human health, and it has not become more infectious. However, the fact that it hasn't done so to date does not mean it will not do so in future.
QUOTE FROM THE ARTICLE BELOW: "The coronavirus is actually quite stable. Scientists have analysed about 13,000 samples in Britain since mid-March and found that new mutations appear roughly twice a month."
Will Covid-19 Be With Us Forever?
We can't answer that.
Science is wonderful, but it does not always conquer every frontier.
Right now, it's probably best to realize that while scientists may be lucky and find something within the next few years, it's unlikely that we are going to go back to the lives we had before Coronavirus. Perhaps BC will come to mean something different to what it has meant up to now.
How Will Our Lives Change Because of Covid-19?
If a vaccine is not found, and it is unlikely that it will be found in the near future, and because there is no such thing as naturally developing herd immunity, we either die off in large numbers, or we begin to live differently.
Below I've listed the immediate impacts of the virus. Thereafter, I will list the later impacts.
Short Term Impacts of Covid-19
- Initially, there will be resistance by an increasing number of people as conspiracy theories, myths, and frustration about staying at home becomes more common. As people resist scientific advice, the virus will spread more quickly until it finally sinks in. At that point, people will finally stay home. This could take up to about a year, and many millions will die as a result.
- Many businesses will fail. The less the goods are needed, the more likely it will be that there is no further market. For instance, if people are staying home, fashion clothing is no longer a vital requirement. Products for the very rich will remain. Yachts will probably become more popular. However, as sailors may not be allowed into port, that may have pros and cons.
- Hunger will become wide-spread as food shortages develop due to a result of faulty distribution and the impact of climate change (drought and flooding).
- America may choose to go to war with China, and both may levy nuclear bombs against each other, thus wiping out the people of the entire world as radiation spreads.
Longer Term Impacts of Covid-19
While different countries will have different responses, the impact will be global as all countries will have to deal with the same problem. New Zealanders, for instance, as a result of having a dynamic young woman as their leader, barred all further entry into the country early on and implemented a strict quarantine program (second only to South Africa). New Zealand is now free of the virus, and life can continue as normal.
- As people make peace with the fact that the disease sees no end, and that socializing freely is a potential for infection, dancing, eating out, movies in theaters, etc. will die. Instead, after an initial increase in virtual connection, people will begin to form small communities in which they feel safe.
- Neighborhood communities will begin to thrive. Initially, this will be cautious, but eventually, neighborhoods will not let strangers in and will focus on becoming self-sufficient, developing both skills and products within their communities. Community gardens will become a thing.
- Micro-economies will develop. And as these micro-economies become self-supporting, the greater economies will lose their importance.
- Larger chains will increasingly not be allowed to ship their goods into neighborhood stores as the danger of infection will not be welcomed. This will lead to mega-wealthy corporations becoming less successful and eventually closing their doors.
- In some countries, because business controls government, the above path will not happen. In that case, countries will become fascist - more like the Chinese model. A dystopian lifestyle will develop as people lose all freedom to establish their own protocols.
- Travel will become a highly-priced luxury, and there will not only be a three week quarantine on the 'other side,' but one before boarding any plane. Eventually, only family will travel to see family in other areas.
- Many products will disappear from the market. No more yellow rubber ducks, plastic bags for shopping, and novelties. Gas (petroleum) will more or less disappear from the market as the demand for fuel for transport will be cut substantially.
- As climate change hits with increasing hurricanes, floods, and droughts, life will become more painful and disastrous for many. The military will increasingly be called out to assist, and martial law may well be a factor in central governments.
- A universal basic income will be implemented in more humane countries, while in others, the masses will begin to starve as government still desperately clings on to serving the fortunes of the mega-rich. This will result in the film-versions of what some countries look like - not good to live in. Those countries that implement the universal basic income will also take care that their food supplies are protected, and that the necessary services for any secure nation are provided - health care, clean water, adequate shelter, and assistance in times of emergencies.
- There will be an increased push to teach essential skills locally, so that production takes place more centrally - rather than importing. Some of this will be an increase in virtual learning as everything from computer programming to building an armchair will be freely available. Teachers and professors will find work online as they deal with students on a personal basis through the means of a laptop, smartphone, or desktop. Skype and other face-to-face connections will become important as webinars become a normal way of acquiring knowledge and skills.
- People will become more community minded, rather than focusing on business and fulfilling personal dreams. This will be a consequence of the necessity and desire for survival - either work with others to protect the 'herd' or face possible and probable eventual infection.
- The cruise business will disappear from the face of the earth, and it is possible that many ships will anchor somewhere and convert to living space, either rental or something akin to condo ownership.
- Airships will be developed to replace planes, and it will become the norm for traveling to other countries.
- After approximately ten years of this, the virus will probably be under control and only be in a view hot spots in the world (Africa, for example). Those countries which put power and financial prosperity ahead of the safety and well-being of their people will fare the worst with large numbers of dead and collapsing infrastructure as a result of lack of investment in solid foundations that serve the general populace.
There is no easy way out of this. This pandemic was caused by the desire for profit by businessmen who didn't want or didn't have regulations to protect the environment. When animals are in close quarters with other animals, viruses and bacteria jump from one species to another. There is no avoiding this. Mother Nature kept species apart for a reason.
There are lessons to be learned from this.
Call to Action
I'll be 70 next year. I have never made a call to action in my life before. However, there are two needs here.
The first is for you to seriously consider the above information, all of which is based on solid research (except for the conclusions I draw about the future impact). Please be kind to our world. Do the right thing.
The second is to ask you to donate $1 for reading this article. I took time writing it, and I have sorted through a great deal of information to get this to be as accurate as possible. I write on a freelance basis, and there are very few markets for professional writers these days - especially if they are older.